Identifying and analyzing key factors affecting the level of resilience in the dilapidated urban fabric of Mosul

Rapid urbanization and economic, social, and cultural developments in recent decades have caused extensive changes in urban fabrics, such that some areas have become dilapidated and inefficient. These changes, along with weak urban management, lack of infrastructure, and inadequate services, have reduced the quality of life of residents and created problems such as overcrowding, spatial disorganization, and reduced urban productivity. The aim of this research is to identify and analyze key drivers in the resilience of dilapidated urban fabrics in Mosul The type of research is applied and its method is descriptive-analytical. The type of research is descriptive-analytical and its purpose is applied. The data collection method was a survey, and the statistical sample was 20 people from the urban elite. The components studied in this study were 4 components (physical-environmental, social, economic, organizational-institutional, environmental) in the form of 28 criteria. For the measurement and analysis of information, the future research software Miq-Maq and Scenario Wizard were used. Based on the analyses conducted among the 26 criteria, criteria such as (the level of economic vulnerability, public/private investment in renovation, land use diversity, the level of vulnerability of personal property to earthquakes or other natural disasters, the existence of safe spaces for crises, the quality of urban infrastructure, transparency and efficiency of institutional performance, population and building density, quality and permeability of roads) had the most direct impact and the least dependence and were identified as key drivers affecting the future of resilience in the dilapidated fabric of Mosul.